NBA Game Model Calculator: https://singulart.github.io/sports-calculator/
To start you will need the Offensive Field Goals Made, Field Goals Attempted, 3pt Shots Made, 3pt Shots Attempted, and Free Throws Made by each Team. These stats can be found on NBA.com, ESPN, and other sites. Next you will need the Defensive Field Goals Made, Field Goals Attempted, 3pt Shots Made, 3pt Shots Attempted for each team. FG%, PSM (Points per Shots Made), and Average Total Points will calculated automatically based on the metrics that are provided.
As this is a calculator, stats can be given based upon the users perceived stats for each team.
Once you have imputed all the stats needed click calculate.
Description from Top to Bottom:
Offensive Shots Made: Team that is more likely to make more shots (points are not taken into consideration in this stat. It just focuses on which team will make more shots). The far right numbers in the rows for HOME & AWAY are the probability % for that team to make more shots.
Defensive Shots Allowed: Same as above, this section only focus on which team is favored to allow less shots to be made. The far right numbers in the rows for HOME & AWAY are the probability % for that team to allow less shots to be made.
Total Points: Calculates the probability for that team to score more points. Or allow less points to be scored on them. Based on the Offensive and Defensive metrics that were imputed.
SPR.HOME (Point Spread): This sections calculates the probability that the HOME team will win (based on their OFF. and DEF. stats provided). Win by more than 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 points (and so on).
SPR.AWAY (Point Spread): This sections calculates the probability that the AWAY team will win (based on their OFF. and DEF. stats provided). Win by more than 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 points (and so on).
TOTAL: this sections is for the Total Amount of Points scored over the course of the entire game. This Section allows for both OFF. and DEF. stats to influence the total probability based upon the metrics imputed for both Teams playing.
HOME: This Sections calculates the probability for the HOME team to score OVER/UNDER the given number of points in the far right column under HOME. The OFF. numbers is the probability based upon the HOME teams OFF metrics provided. For DEF (however), is the probability for the HOME team to ALLOW that given number of points to their opponent.
AWAY: This Sections calculates the probability for the AWAY team to score OVER/UNDER the given number of points in the far right column under AWAY. The OFF. numbers is the probability based upon the AWAY teams OFF metrics provided. For DEF (however), is the probability for the AWAY team to ALLOW that given number of points to their opponent.
NFL Player Receiving Reliability Chart: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1H0F87YrUrqXtElfbE10yvc_EjtqZPtC2lg4PGmgTzao/edit?usp=sharing
In this spreadsheet i broke down the percentage that each player listed, contributed to their Teams total receiving stat line.
MLB Pitching Team Rankings: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1sHwmWqOSShPERxth1wHUmKLdTUnzDMA3wFmzOu-gMw4/edit?usp=sharing
Coming Soon.
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